Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.198282 0.230171 0.267393 0.314521 0.373271 0.445012 5.406815e-01
2025-01-12 0.149512 0.188833 0.240393 0.314877 0.423145 0.580710 8.396684e-01
2025-01-19 0.119802 0.160362 0.218108 0.310167 0.461359 0.717033 1.228442e+00
2025-01-26 0.103068 0.144461 0.207448 0.316569 0.516307 0.905722 1.860876e+00
2025-02-02 0.092032 0.134038 0.201669 0.327727 0.582691 1.154144 2.900461e+00
2025-02-09 0.083056 0.124836 0.195348 0.335307 0.644908 1.437301 4.489630e+00
2025-02-16 0.076247 0.117839 0.191055 0.345054 0.716188 1.802964 7.243653e+00
2025-02-23 0.070171 0.111034 0.185616 0.350673 0.780718 2.214508 1.176050e+01
2025-03-02 0.064774 0.104593 0.179587 0.353226 0.839182 2.676714 1.944774e+01
2025-03-09 0.059771 0.098174 0.172453 0.351288 0.884722 3.154924 3.231308e+01
2025-03-16 0.054988 0.091573 0.163890 0.343729 0.910026 3.588341 5.259212e+01
2025-03-23 0.052209 0.088450 0.162067 0.352861 0.997874 4.528309 1.218246e+02
2025-03-30 0.048291 0.082755 0.154054 0.344119 1.019432 5.137595 2.443163e+02
2025-04-06 0.045745 0.079534 0.151084 0.348881 1.099486 6.424496 9.069653e+02
2025-04-13 0.042903 0.075420 0.145517 0.344860 1.142163 7.573040 4.583358e+03
2025-04-20 0.041065 0.073184 0.143984 0.352676 1.246460 9.862682 3.861617e+06
2025-04-27 0.039667 0.071718 0.144059 0.365705 1.390030 13.643424 NaN
2025-05-04 0.038158 0.069857 0.142900 0.374520 1.522343 18.580964 NaN
2025-05-11 0.036877 0.068365 0.142453 0.385824 1.684419 26.556074 NaN
2025-05-18 0.035483 0.066487 0.140759 0.392344 1.826886 37.212281 NaN
2025-05-25 0.034054 0.064405 0.138258 0.395307 1.952065 51.505760 NaN
2025-06-01 0.032543 0.062010 0.134626 0.393060 2.039450 68.430910 NaN
2025-06-08 0.030919 0.059232 0.129642 0.384296 2.068358 84.203463 NaN